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Lender Specials Cooked to Order

Are you looking for one of those distressed sale Blue Plate Specials? They exist, but don’t expect fast food. There will be a wait.

Looking at the numbers for the I-15 corridor communities of Scripps Ranch, Rancho Penasquitos and Rancho Bernardo (the latter including both the 92127 and 92128 Zip codes), here is how the home sales numbers break down since January 1st. (Note: Data compliments of the Sandicor Multiple Listing Service and include all property types. Remember, a home is considered “subject to lender approval” only if the listing agent fesses up and marks the appropriate field, which isn’t always the case.)

sold-1st-qtr-09

On average, the lender-controlled sales (short sales and foreclosures) are being served up at a 10% discount from their traditional sale counterparts, but this comes with a catch. You will have to take a number.

sold-1st-qtr-09-mt

You’ve no doubt heard the stories about lenders moving as quickly Orson Wells carrying a 50-pound pack, and these market time statistics support the rumors. The fact is that most of the distressed sales we see are priced very (often, too) aggressively, and the offers come quickly and furiously. So, when you see that the average market times for these homes are in the four-month range, that means some would-be buyer was sitting around for three of those months just waiting to be served.

Now, here is the bummer of it all. As a percentage, many more properties in the lender-controlled category fail to sell.

failed-to-sell

Yet, the market times for the withdrawn and canceled properties look eerily similar for homes for which the sales are subject to bank approval.

failed-to-sell-mt

One could conclude (and “one” would be me, since “one” is speaking from first-hand, in-the-trenches experience) that lender-controlled sales fail for one of three reasons: The bank modifies the seller’s loan allowing them to cancel the sale and keep the home (rare), the bank forecloses on the home before the sale can be consummated (a little more frequent), or the bank rejects the offer and then forecloses on the home (most common).

According to my numbers, roughly 56 lucky bargain seekers closed on lender-controlled homes during the first quarter of this year in these four I-15 corridor Zip codes, while 63 buyers left the negotiating table hungry (when the sales were canceled).

Everyone likes a bargain, and there are certainly opportunities to grab a seat at the counter. But if you really have a hankering for a home, you might be better off ordering from the main menu.

Kris Berg

Kris Berg is Co-Owner and Designated Broker of San Diego Castles Realty. She has been serving San Diego buyers and sellers since 1997.

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  • danthedart

    This is very frustrating because it seems like a disproportionate number of homes on the MLS are short sales because they stay “on the market” so long. Every time we’re searching for homes and we find a listing we like, we find out it’s a short sale. It seems like most of the more attractive homes are also short sales. I sent a list of 5 homes that we were interested in to our agent, and she said that ALL of them were short sales.

    Our agent is very reluctant to help us with short sales and she keeps saying that the chance of closing are very small etc. I don’t want to force her into helping us with a short sale especially when she is so reluctant to, but it seems like almost all of the good homes are short sales.

  • http://www.sandiegohomeblog.com Steve Berg

    d – We feel your (and your agent’s) pain. It’s appropriate for your agent to fairly advise you of the potential pitfalls of entering negotiations with a short sale, but you should also remember that you are the boss. If you like a home listed as a short sale and you know the implications, you can still go for it. We have clients who asked us to submit offers for 2 or 3 different short sale listings at the same time knowing that they may not get any of them. On one transaction we recently closed, due to the protracted timeframe for lender approval, we rescinded an offer on a short sale listing just prior to approval by the lender when our client found a “normal” listing (two months later) that they liked better. It all turned out okay. One of the key aspects of hunting for a short sale is to be able to secure your position while the lender is processing your offer for approval and not get knocked out by a subsequent, but better offer. Your agent should be able to extract that commitment (or not) from the listing agent up front so at least you know the rules of the game.

    One caveat, though. If the buyer is using a VA loan it can be more challenging (or just not feasible) for short sales since the approving lender will ultimately approve a minimun amount of proceeds they are willing to accept (below the outstanding loan amount). But with VA loans there is an unknown amount of seller-mandated costs related to heath and safety deficiencies in the home. Unfortunately, in a short sale you will not know that amount (if any) until escrow is opened and the appraisal completed by the VA, since we generally do not open escrow and begin buyers due diligence until the lender has approved the sale. It’s kind of a Catch 22.

  • http://www.brookfieldsd.com Brookfield Homes San Diego

    I have seen buyers pass up lower priced short sales, and choose a home that they preferred, at current market value.

  • http://www.sandiegohomeblog.com Steve Berg

    BHS – Agreed. It’s becoming more and more common.

  • http://www.realestatelogan.com/hyde_park_utah.htm Hyde Park Homes

    From a buyers perspective the process is much more complicated with all the required bank approvals. There is so much uncertainty I have some people that are just sick of looking at short sale homes.

    Good information.

Office Location

  • San Diego Castles Realty
  • 10636 Scripps Summit Court, Suite 153
  • San Diego, CA 92131
  • P: 858.530.2374
  • F: 858.876.1701
  • E: info (at) sandiegocastles.com
  • CA DRE# 01241572

Broker Information

  • Kris Berg, Broker
  • DRE# 01853496
  • Steve Berg, Broker
  • CA DRE# 00762095