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The Art of Home Pricing

Kristn.jpg

This is an excerpt from the speech we routinely give sellers on proper pricing.

We do not make the market for your home, we simply market. We can advise you on a likely range of sale price, given current market conditions and based on our knowledge of comparable listings and sales, and on the fact that we have seen most if not all of the homes with which you will be competing. The numbers are the “science” part of pricing; ultimately we will be relying to some extent on our intuition (gut instinct, if you will). Proper pricing to achieve the highest possible price in the shortest possible time is, after all, as much ”art” as it is science.

You see, there is not a single market value for any given home, but a range of value, as each would-be buyer is going to perceive value to a varying degree. One person may be willing to pay a premium for your Koi pond or proximity to the neighborhood park while another may consider little personal value in these things. Our responsibility as agents is to find the guy who actually covets most those features which your home has to offer.

This range of value concept is why Value Range (VR) pricing can be such a powerful tool for maximizing a seller’s chance of success. For a refresher course on Value Range Pricing and why it works, I’ll refer you back to Broker Bryant’s most fabulous article on the topic. For the link-lazy, I offer the following CliffsNotes:

  • VR pricing establishes a range within the seller is willing to negotiate.
  • A proper range will include a low number lower than the market’s perception of value and a high number higher, thus giving both parties an opportunity to negotiate their way to a palatable price.
  • VR pricing benefits the seller by providing a wide berth within which to maneuver. The home will be exposed to a larger potential buyer pool, and the likelihood of finding the one buyer who values the home most is increased.
  • VR pricing benefits the buyer by exposing them to a property they might not have otherwise seen and by giving them the confidence to submit an offer anywhere within the range knowing that they won’t be thrown to the curb. This is because the seller is obligated to “respond” to any offer written in the range; that response can be an acceptance or a counter offer, but it can not be an outright rejection.

Just out of curiosity, I took a brief look this morning at sale prices for homes sold since January 1, 2007 in Scripps Ranch. I was interested to see how the VR homes faired in comparison to their fixed-price counterparts. What I found was consistent with what I have seen in the past. That is, VR pricing on average returns higher sale prices in a shorter period of time.

Pricing Strategy # Sold (Since 1/1/07) Avg. Days on Market Avg. $/SF Avg. $
Value Range 33 67 $330 $819,392
Fixed 23 73 $323 $774,326

The average difference of $7 per square foot may not look like a lot on the face, but when you consider that the homes in each of these categories averaged approximately 2500 square feet, a difference of this magnitude equates to approximately $17,500, which is more than a bunch of bananas. Couple this with the benefit of shorter market time, and I find a compelling case to employ value range pricing.

When Bad Ranges Happen to Good People

One of my big beefs in life is when I see a perfectly good pricing strategy misused to the point where it not only removes any benefit of the range concept but harms the sellers in the process. I am talking about the range that isn’t a range at all. This morning I offer two examples, coincidentally (or not) from two listings belonging to the same agent. One home is offered at a range of $1,475,000 to $1,495,000, while the second home is listed at a range of $765,000 to $775,000. When a price says that the seller is willing to entertain all offers “between” yet there is barely a “between” involved, what you have is essentially a fixed price, only worse. With ranges this narrow, one of several things will happen:

  1.  An offer will be proferred quickly at the asking price, at which point the seller may have indeed underpriced their home, or at the very least will always wonder if they could have gotten more.
  2. The potential buyers will consider the price non-negotiable. Few buyers will want to begin and end negotiations at a single point; therefore, offers are unlikely unless the home is indeed considered under-valued.
  3. The potential buyers will consider the price too high. Implicit in range pricing, which says “I am willing to negotiate between these two numbers”, is the corollary message “I am unwilling to negotiate below the range”. Therefore, again, offers are unlikely.

The exceptions to (2) and (3) above, of course, are the few situations where bold, bargain hunters will ignore the range altogether and present a very low offer or, more commonly, will wait until the seller has a boat load of market time under their belt, thus perceiving seller desperation and an opportunity to capitalize.

So, back to the art of pricing. No pricing structure can ever deliver a sale price above market value, but a good pricing plan can maximize sale price within a reasonable range. A poor strategy can all but guarantee poor results, however, which is not a pretty picture.

Kris Berg

Kris Berg is Co-Owner and Designated Broker of San Diego Castles Realty. She has been serving San Diego buyers and sellers since 1997.

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  • http://bawldguy.com/ Jeff Brown

    Kris – What I love about you is your consistent approach to either answering questions or addressing issues like this one.

    You support your positions, whether folks agree or disagree with the one thing so sorely missing in our industry – substance. This is why you stand out.

    A substantive approach is profoundly effective – especially when compared with the usual flippant approach we see so much of today. Yeah, you’re easy to look at, smart as all get out, and you crack me up.

    But what sets you apart isn’t your superb writing (well, ok maybe a little bit) or your unerring ability to show the humor in most things.

    It’s your substance. You have it – most don’t. I admire you very much. Keep up the great work.

  • http://sandiegohomeblog.com Kris Berg

    Oh my goodness! So glad I stopped off at the Blog on my way to bed. Thank you for the postive reinforcement, Jeff, although Steve would beg you to not encourage me. :)

    Of course, you know I think just as highly of you, Bawld One.

  • http://www.singlepointerealty.com/real-blogging Single Pointe Realty

    Kris, you have pointed out what most buyers don’t understand, no matter how many homes they have bought or sold- there truly is a RANGE of prices a seller should examine. Often, sellers feel that since the county can put an exact dollar amount on the value of their home, a REALTOR should do the same (and never stray from that amount, might I add, no matter how many offers are presented or how long it is on the market).

    I am delighted that you have put this concept in terms that sellers can digest. The real problem in our industry is that the “McDiscounts” (as http://www.theharperteam.com/blog/ put it) bring a “solid” number to the seller as fact, when those who are trained professionals who truly earn their income spend time knowing, analyzing and presenting the market RANGE. Your article also points out why buyers and sellers should use a REALTOR (rather than the FSBO websites or McDiscount brokers)- knowledge, expertise and service that allows for a seller to collaborate with their REALTOR. Thanks!!!

  • http://sandiegohomeblog.com Kris Berg

    Thanks for the McDiscount link. They make an important point that was only implicit in my post – Sellers get bogged down with the “what will it cost” me commission numbers and tend to pay less attention to the “what will it net me” argument. The problem is that saying I will save my client money in the end is an abstract proposition; we know it, but haviing the sellers believe it is a different story.

  • Mr. McMansion

    Sure, the only way to sell property is to give up that ole 6%. Thats why the home didn’t sell, it had nothing to do with the fact that it was way overpriced in the first place. Only a professional realtor has enough “experience” to price your home correctly. (I mean there are not any other ways to do it “right”, those McDiscounts have no clue how to sell those McMansions, only “real” Realtors can!) It has nothing to do with the sellers warped view of how much their home is worth, Realtors have that one of a kind ability to price that home just right with those famous “McPrice Bands”. I am sure glad there are realtors out there that can do all this difficult work for those ignorant buyers and sellers out there. I think 10% to 15% is more of a fair rate to give those expert realtors. I mean what is 60K worth anyway?

  • http://www.reagentinct.com Sock Puppet

    Hmmm, are you comparing houses you have sold using VR marketing to houses other people have sold without it?

    If so that may may explain why VR marketing does better in your case. The difference may be you Kris.

  • http://sandiegohomeblog.com Kris Berg

    Athol, I mean, Sock Puppet -

    I wish I could say that was so, but I was comparing all homes by all agents in this zip. Thanks for the effort. :)

  • http://www.reagentinct.com Sock Puppet

    I have to be a Sock Puppet here Kris. I get tossed into the spambox otherwise.

    I liked my theory better. ;-P

    4thol

  • http://sandiegohomeblog.com/2007/04/09/which-offer-is-the-best-the-last-one/ The San Diego Home Blog » Blog Archive » Which Offer is the Best? The Last One.

    [...] wrote recently about the range of value. Our five-offer home turned out to be the poster child for this phenomenon. All were within that [...]

  • http://sandiegohomeblog.com/2008/06/13/whats-up-with-those-value-ranges/ The San Diego Home Blog » Blog Archive » What’s up with those Value Ranges?

    [...] The best explanation of value range pricing I have ever seen is still this post written by Broker Bryant. Back in March of last year, I said: [...]

Office Location

  • San Diego Castles Realty
  • 10636 Scripps Summit Court, Suite 153
  • San Diego, CA 92131
  • P: 858.530.2374
  • F: 858.876.1701
  • E: info (at) sandiegocastles.com
  • CA DRE# 01241572

Broker Information

  • Kris Berg, Broker
  • DRE# 01853496
  • Steve Berg, Broker
  • CA DRE# 00762095